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China case study: modeling, mariculture, and eDNA (January 2026)

Jan 24, 2026

China case study: modeling, mariculture, and eDNA (January 2026)

The China case study advances quantitative modeling and data-driven analysis of marine ecosystems under climate change, with strong links to mariculture potential, carbon sequestration, and biodiversity assessment.

Ling Cao (Xiamen University) leads; Yue Liu completed a PhD at Shanghai Jiao Tong University and continued as a post-doctoral researcher at Xiamen University to drive integrated analysis.

  • SEW-ED and related models updated with CMIP6 and SSP scenarios.
  • Work on mariculture potential under climate change and global suitability for marine algae farming.
  • Yellow Sea and Yangtze Estuary analyses on community and habitat shifts under climate pressure.
  • eDNA data prepared for biodiversity modeling—in dialogue with the Netherlands team (ecosystem services and integration with Rob Alkemade’s group).
  • Nature Futures Framework workshop at the Costa Rica partnership meeting (Feb 2025).
  • XMAS 2025 (Xiamen Symposium on Marine Environmental Sciences) participation.
  • Nature Food and related 2025 papers on aquaculture growth rates, species distributions, and oyster-reef management reforms.

Site articles and planned policy webinar (with Pauly, Cao, Cheung, Sumaila) and a follow-up synthesis paper.

Provides quantitative comparison for blue food and nature-based solution discussions with West Africa and Canada; contributes to partnership-wide NFF synthesis.

Source material: internal China case-study year-by-year record (2022–2025).